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KELEMEN: Still, she says, they have an incentive to get relief from U.S. They're going to be looking to be able to say that they got more than their predecessors. They're coming to the table with something to prove. She's led informal diplomatic contacts with Iran and describes the new team this way.ĭIMAGGIO: They are decidedly more conservative and hardline than their predecessors. KELEMEN: DiMaggio doesn't see any great options for a Plan B, but she admits it will be tricky to negotiate with the new Iranian government. Also, I think it could lead to a miscalculation if we see the Iranians now embroiled in tit-for-tat escalations with the Israelis. SUZANNE DIMAGGIO: It's just incentivizing the Iranians to plow ahead with the nuclear program, to continue making advancements. Suzanne DiMaggio of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace argues that the sabotage is only complicating matters. KELEMEN: Israel is believed to have been behind recent attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities and the targeted assassination of Iran's top nuclear scientist. SINGH: Getting the Iranians to believe it, especially when the overall thrust of our strategy in the world, our grand strategy, is to focus less on the Middle East and more on Asia, is, I think, tough and may require steps that the Biden administration is reluctant to take. position with a credible military threat. KELEMEN: Singh, who served in the Bush administration, argues that it is time for a Plan B, either an entirely new deal or a much tougher U.S. And there's no real conceivable civilian purpose for enriching to this level. MICHAEL SINGH: The jump from 60 to 90%, 90% being the level of enrichment you would need for nuclear weapons-grade fuel, is a much shorter leap than the leap that the Iranians have already made. Iran's nuclear program is advancing rapidly. does not have the luxury of time, says Michael Singh of The Washington Institute for Near East Policy. MALLEY: If those are the kinds of demands they make, that's tantamount to saying, we don't really want a deal we just want to spend the next few months building our nuclear program. won't abandon it again, even after the next presidential election.
They also want a way to guarantee that the U.S. lift all sanctions first, since it was the U.S. But obviously the indications they've given - and we're not the only ones who've heard those indications - are not particularly encouraging. I don't believe in prejudging, and so let's see what they say when they're at the table. ROBERT MALLEY: I believe in being prepared. envoy Robert Malley told NPR's Morning Edition that Iran's latest rhetoric does not augur well for the Vienna negotiations. Now Iran has a new president with new demands. But after six rounds of talks, Iran pushed the pause button. MICHELE KELEMEN, BYLINE: The Biden administration has been trying to revive the 2015 nuclear deal, putting Iran's nuclear program back in a box in exchange for sanctions relief. The Iranians have since made a lot of advances in their nuclear program, and that has diplomats worried, as NPR's Michele Kelemen reports. officials directly, who are trying to revive a nuclear deal that the Trump administration left. European diplomats will be intermediaries. and Iran begin high-stakes talks on Monday in Vienna.
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